By Suleiman Abdullahi Gashuwa
Suleimanasuleiman476@gmail.com
As Kano populace describe their politics in Hausa language “Siyasar Kano, Sai Kano” has confirmed of what we’re seeing at this time within the political panorama of the state is a reproduction of what may occur within the 2027 come normal election.
it’s no extra information that Kano State, a key political centre in Nigeria, has been considerably influenced by two to 3 individuals i.e. Rabi’u Musa Kwankwaso, and former governor and now APC nationwide Chairman Abdullahi Umar Ganduje. Their longstanding dominance is now dealing with challenges, suggesting a possible shift within the political panorama by 2027.
Kwankwaso and Ganduje’s adversary as its stands has left Kano states political ambiance in a tensed and uncertainty of the state future, which many are of the opinion it’s time to both they deal with their grievances or what is occurring within the state will result in the emergence of contemporary Dark Horses to alter the narratives.
Kwankwaso and Ganduje’s strained relationship has led to factionalism, and is now weakening their affect and opening doorways for brand new political figures, and led to the agitation for the emergence of latest youthful and more energizing politicians by social media and grassroots efforts, difficult the Kwankwaso, Shekarau and Ganduje’s dominance that lead Kano to the state it founds itself in at current, with contemporary concepts.
Economic challenges and corruption have led to voter fatigue, rising calls for for accountability and efficient governance.
The current Dan Bello’s revelations of assorted diploma of corruption involving the previous Kano state native authorities commissioner Murtala Sule Garo and Ganduje’s spouse Hafsat Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, and Kwankwaso’s Nephew Garba Kwankwaso has nature and improve the necessity for change of the narratives in Kano politics.
Thuggery and improve in quantity youth going into drug abuse, has left many calling for the emergence of contemporary and darkish horses who will reform Kano, and revive morality and curb the menace thuggery has brought about for many years within the state.
As the 2027 elections strategy, the political dynamics in Kano are anticipated to evolve, particularly the disaster prone to be confronted by the highest three political events within the state.
Despite been the principle opposition get together in Kano,, the APC has its inner disaster, which can later expose itself, and may eat the get together, and make it lose its affect in upcoming elections.
Having robust Figures rising their Ambitions as governors come 2027, the race is anticipated to be powerful, with Ganduje prone to be on the centre eager to affect the events flag bearer, which posed a fantastic deal with to the get together.
Kano North Powerful Horses:
Kano north may possible be the nerve centre of disaster for the APC in Kano state with highly effective politicians prone to contest for the 2027 gubernatorial election.
As varied highly effective figures throughout the get together assert their ambitions, Ganduje’s capability to take care of management could diminish. The conflicts and rivalries can erode his assist base, as loyalty may shift in the direction of rising leaders who promise change or new alternatives.
The inner disaster throughout the APC might considerably weaken Abdullahi Ganduje’s longstanding affect in Kano politics due to the ways implored by Barau Jibrin, Murtal Sule Garo, Abdulahi Tijjani Muhammad Gwarzo.
For occasion Barau Jibrin (Maliya), who’s Nigeria’s Deputy Senate President, has been fostering his political ambitions since 2023. Till then his affect and aspirations could result in friction throughout the get together, particularly if his objectives battle with these of different outstanding figures.
The rising energy and ambitions of figures like Barau Jibrin could overshadow Ganduje’s affect, resulting in a decline in his capability to dictate get together dynamics and candidate choice.
Barau Jibrin’s position on the nationwide stage supplies him with broader political connections and affect, which could be leveraged to realize assist throughout the get together, particularly with Ganduje out because the APC National Chairman. Though the duos are presently on the identical web page and curiosity however solely time will inform.
Barau’s potential to attraction to youthful and disillusioned voters by contemporary views and insurance policies aligns with the present demand for change in Kano. Age has been on his aspect, and carrying youth alongside he has an opportunity of Becoming the darkish horse.
But has a fantastic problem of his long run rival Murtala Sule Garo from the identical Kabo Local authorities, the battle can be very powerful for Barau. Because Murtala has been among the many three individuals funding the APC at state stage. He has additionally empowered many people from completely different class which made him a deciding issue within the coming race.
There are excessive tendencies that if Barau emerges the gubernatorial candidate for APC, Garo could also be compelled to go away the APC, as a result of it doesn’t matter what, with Barau as Governor, no senator will come out from identical native authorities from Kano north, and that leaves him with no varied choices.
If Murtala Garo’s candidacy, might both cut up the vote or power strategic alliances, despite the fact that speculations has it that he may doubtlessly defecting to the PDP as a result of his familial ties with Atiku Abubakar, a points which stirred curiosity in Kano’s political scene.
If these rumours have been to materialize, Garo’s transfer might have important implications for each the NNPP and the APC, and extra affect to Barau Jibrin.
For the PDP, Garo’s defection might function a much-needed increase, doubtlessly reinvigorating the get together’s presence in Kano. His affect and connections might entice disillusioned voters from the APC and even some from the NNPP, enhancing the PDP’s standing as a reputable opposition.
His relationship with Atiku might additionally facilitate strategic alliances and useful resource mobilization, making the PDP and Atiku Abubakar’s presidential ambition bid a extra formidable power within the upcoming elections.
Conversely, Garo’s departure from the APC would signify a substantial loss for the get together. As a big participant throughout the APC, his exit might weaken the get together’s construction in Kano, particularly if he takes loyal supporters with him.
This might create an influence vacuum that rivals, significantly the NNPP, can be eager to use. The APC would wish to reassess its methods to take care of its affect within the area and forestall additional erosion of its base.
Another prime potential contender is the state minister for Housing Dr Abdullahi Tijjani Muhammad Gwarzo (Ruwa Baba), who Barau flooring throughout the APC major that returned him again to the meeting in 2015.
T Gwarzo has been a gubernatorial candidate beneath CAN which was the place he gained his shut relationship with the then presidential candidate and Nigeria’s present president Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
With him on the centre and the desperation of Barau Jibrin to take care of his management over the votes in Gwarzo native authorities, and Kano North he nonetheless must strategize and take a look at choices to work forward of them.
Apparently, Dr. Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna having contested for the governorship beforehand, Gawuna is prone to re-contest. His candidacy might conflict with a variety of pursuits from varied quarters due to how he enjoins the overwhelming assist if Abdullahi Umar Ganduje within the earlier election, thought unconfirmed studies says that he may be compelled to contest for the Kano senatorial senator, for fears that he won’t be accepted by Kano populace, and till now he hasn’t gotten a federal appointment, which many sees it as a way of manoeuvring him out of the race tactically.
Coming in is Hon Baffa Babba DanAgundi who now occupies the place of the director General of the nationwide centre for Productivity and he hails from Kano Central, he’s positioning himself as a possible working mate for any gubernatorial candidate.
His strategic positioning might create alliances or rivalries, relying on the dynamics and assist he garners. But he may face critical opposition from many get together angles due to stepping on many toes that may quite not having him as a deputy
Each possibility presents each alternatives and challenges for the respective events, underscoring the fluidity and unpredictability of the area’s political dynamics.
The NNPP , Kwankwaso, Corruption and different rumbles:
Coming in to the inner disaster brewing throughout the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) which multifaceted and poses important challenges to its dominance in Kano.
Kwankwaso management issue stays a important level, his affect shapes get together dynamics. His management is now beneath scrutiny as a result of corruption scandals involving himself on the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission EFCC, his shut relations and a few key officers in Abba Kabir Yusuf’s authorities, which might undermine public belief and get together integrity, from Kano populace.
Furthermore, the NNPP is presently dealing with a possible defection of outstanding figures like Kawu Sumaila and Al-Hassan Rurum due to their completely different views on the brand new Kano Emirate regulation, and accusation of been sidelined on issues associated to Kano and choices taking throughout the get together at state ranges, which of allowed to go away might weaken the get together’s construction and assist base.
Their discontent displays broader dissatisfaction throughout the get together, exacerbated by perceived sidelining of influential members akin to Ali Madakin Gini who’s the minority chief of the House of Representatives. This marginalization might alienate essential factions and erode loyalty amongst supporters and even him decamping again to the APC particularly along with his relationship with Barau Jibrin as In-laws.
With solely a yr remaining to solidify its place and execute varied tasks to showcase for a re-election by the state governor Abba Kabir Yusuf, the NNPP faces an uphill battle. The mixture of inner strife, corruption allegations, and key defections might hinder its effectiveness and electoral prospects in Kano. If not addressed, these points could result in a big decline within the get together’s affect, complicating efforts to take care of a stronghold within the area as political dynamics evolve.
Equally one factor that has begins to manifest if the opportunity of greater disaster throughout the NNPP after the native governments elections. There have been speculations that many chairmanship aspirants the place not endorsed by Kwankwaso, and that Kwankwaso anointed individuals loyal to him which many sees that it would jeopardised the events future.
The Tootles Bull canine preventing for survival:
The disaster throughout the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) has additional weakened its affect in Kano politics, permitting different events just like the APC to realize floor. Key figures akin to Aminu Wali, Ibrahim Shekarau, Yunusa Dangwani, and Ibrahim Littles are engaged in an influence battle that has fragmented the get together and diluted its effectiveness as the first opposition.
Despite having notable leaders, the PDP’s incapability to current a cohesive entrance has led to a notion of disarray. The ongoing rivalry amongst these influential figures not solely hampers strategic decision-making but additionally alienates potential supporters. Each chief’s quest for dominance typically overshadows collective objectives, making it troublesome for the PDP to mobilize successfully.
The inner crises confronted by the PDP, APC, and NNPP might certainly pave the best way for a political revolution in Kano, doubtlessly resulting in important adjustments within the political panorama. As dissatisfaction grows inside these established events, disillusioned voters could search alternate options that higher deal with their wants and aspirations.
Despite these evaluation solely time can inform, what is going to occur in Kano state politics, with all presidential contenders eyeing to manage the state because of the densely concentrated votes there .
As its slogan by its city criers “Kano ta Dabo, Jalla Babbar Hausa, ko da me ka zo am Fika”.
